failed¡¡I¡¡would¡¡guess¡¡that¡¡the¡¡Universe¡¡is¡¡filled¡¡with¡¡beings¡¡far¡¡more¡¡intelligent£»¡¡tar¡¡more¡¡advanced¡¡than¡¡we¡¡are¡£¡¡But¡¡of¡¡course¡¡I¡¡might¡¡be¡¡wrong¡£¡¡Such¡¡a¡¡conclusion¡¡is¡¡at¡¡best¡¡based¡¡on¡¡a¡¡plausibility¡¡argument£»¡¡derived¡¡from¡¡the¡¡numbers¡¡of¡¡planets£»¡¡the¡¡ubiquity¡¡of¡¡organic¡¡matter£»¡¡the¡¡immense¡¡timescales¡¡available¡¡for¡¡evolution£»¡¡and¡¡so¡¡on¡£¡¡It¡¡is¡¡not¡¡a¡¡scientific¡¡demonstration¡£¡¡The¡¡question¡¡is¡¡among¡¡the¡¡most¡¡fascinating¡¡in¡¡all¡¡of¡¡science¡£¡¡As¡¡described¡¡in¡¡this¡¡book£»¡¡we¡¡are¡¡just¡¡developing¡¡the¡¡tools¡¡to¡¡treat¡¡it¡¡seriously¡£
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To¡¡me¡¡it¡¡echoes¡¡Dr¡£¡¡Pangloss¡¡in¡¡Voltaire's¡¡Candide£»¡¡convinced¡¡that¡¡this¡¡world£»¡¡with¡¡all¡¡its¡¡imperfections£»¡¡is¡¡the¡¡best¡¡possible¡£¡¡It¡¡sounds¡¡like¡¡playing¡¡my¡¡first¡¡hand¡¡of¡¡bridge£»¡¡winning£»¡¡knowing¡¡that¡¡there¡¡are¡¡54¡¡billion¡¡billion¡¡billion¡¡£¨5¡£4¡¡X¡¡1028£©¡¡possible¡¡other¡¡hands¡¡that¡¡I¡¡was¡¡equally¡¡likely¡¡to¡¡have¡¡been¡¡dealt¡¡¡£¡¡¡£¡¡¡£¡¡and¡¡then¡¡foolishly¡¡concluding¡¡that¡¡a¡¡god¡¡of¡¡bridge¡¡exists¡¡and¡¡favors¡¡me£»¡¡a¡¡god¡¡who¡¡arranged¡¡the¡¡cards¡¡and¡¡the¡¡shuffle¡¡with¡¡my¡¡victory¡¡foreordained¡¡from¡¡The¡¡Beginning¡£¡¡We¡¡do¡¡not¡¡know¡¡how¡¡many¡¡other¡¡winning¡¡hands¡¡there¡¡are¡¡in¡¡the¡¡cosmic¡¡deck£»¡¡how¡¡many¡¡other¡¡kinds¡¡of¡¡universes£»¡¡laws¡¡of¡¡Nature£»¡¡and¡¡physical¡¡constants£º¡¡that¡¡could¡¡also¡¡lead¡¡to¡¡life¡¡and¡¡Intelligence¡¡and¡¡perhaps¡¡even¡¡delusions¡¡of¡¡self¡importance¡£¡¡Since¡¡we¡¡know¡¡next¡¡to¡¡nothing¡¡about¡¡how¡¡the¡¡Universe¡¡was¡¡made¡ªor¡¡even¡¡if¡¡it¡¡was¡¡made¡ªit's¡¡difficult¡¡to¡¡pursue¡¡these¡¡notions¡¡productively¡£
Voltaire¡¡asked¡¡¡¨Why¡¡is¡¡there¡¡anything£¿¡¨¡¡Einstein's¡¡formulation¡¡was¡¡to¡¡ask¡¡whether¡¡God¡¡had¡¡any¡¡choice¡¡in¡¡creating¡¡the¡¡Universe¡£¡¡But¡¡if¡¡the¡¡Universe¡¡is¡¡infinitely¡¡old¡ªif¡¡the¡¡Big¡¡Bang¡¡some¡¡15¡¡billion¡¡years¡¡ago¡¡is¡¡only¡¡the¡¡most¡¡recent¡¡cusp¡¡in¡¡an¡¡infinite¡¡series¡¡of¡¡cosmic¡¡contractions¡¡and¡¡expansions¡ªthen¡¡it¡¡was¡¡never¡¡created¡¡and¡¡the¡¡question¡¡of¡¡why¡¡it¡¡is¡¡as¡¡it¡¡is¡¡is¡¡rendered¡¡meaningless¡£
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For¡¡example£»¡¡Newton's¡¡universal¡¡law¡¡of¡¡gravitation¡¡specifies¡¡that¡¡the¡¡mutual¡¡gravitational¡¡force¡¡attracting¡¡two¡¡bodies¡¡towards¡¡each¡¡other¡¡is¡¡inversely¡¡proportional¡¡to¡¡the¡¡square¡¡of¡¡how¡¡far¡¡they¡¡are¡¡apart¡£¡¡You¡¡move¡¡twice¡¡as¡¡far¡¡from¡¡the¡¡center¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Earth¡¡and¡¡you¡¡weigh¡¡a¡¡quarter¡¡as¡¡much£»¡¡ten¡¡times¡¡farther¡¡and¡¡you¡¡weigh¡¡only¡¡a¡¡hundredth¡¡of¡¡your¡¡ordinary¡¡weight£»¡¡etc¡£¡¡It¡¡is¡¡this¡¡inverse¡¡square¡¡law¡¡that¡¡permits¡¡the¡¡exquisite¡¡circular¡¡and¡¡elliptical¡¡orbits¡¡of¡¡planets¡¡around¡¡the¡¡Sun£»¡¡and¡¡moons¡¡around¡¡the¡¡planets¡ªas¡¡well¡¡as¡¡the¡¡precision¡¡trajectories¡¡of¡¡our¡¡interplanetary¡¡spacecraft¡£¡¡If¡¡r¡¡is¡¡the¡¡distance¡¡between¡¡the¡¡centers¡¡of¡¡two¡¡masses£»¡¡we¡¡say¡¡that¡¡the¡¡gravitational¡¡force¡¡varies¡¡as¡¡1/r2¡£
But¡¡if¡¡this¡¡exponent¡¡were¡¡different¡ªif¡¡the¡¡gravitational¡¡law¡¡were¡¡1/r4£»¡¡say£»¡¡rather¡¡than¡¡1/r2¡¡¡ªthen¡¡the¡¡orbits¡¡would¡¡not¡¡close£»¡¡over¡¡billions¡¡of¡¡revolutions£»¡¡the¡¡planets¡¡would¡¡spiral¡¡in¡¡and¡¡be¡¡consumed¡¡in¡¡the¡¡fiery¡¡depths¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Sun£»¡¡or¡¡spiral¡¡out¡¡and¡¡be¡¡lost¡¡to¡¡interstellar¡¡space¡£¡¡If¡¡the¡¡Universe¡¡were¡¡constructed¡¡with¡¡an¡¡inverse¡¡fourth¡¡power¡¡law¡¡rather¡¡than¡¡an¡¡inverse¡¡square¡¡law£»¡¡soon¡¡there¡¡would¡¡be¡¡no¡¡planets¡¡for¡¡living¡¡beings¡¡to¡¡inhabit¡£
So¡¡of¡¡all¡¡the¡¡possible¡¡gravitational¡¡force¡¡laws£»¡¡why¡¡are¡¡we¡¡so¡¡lucky¡¡as¡¡to¡¡live¡¡in¡¡a¡¡universe¡¡sporting¡¡a¡¡law¡¡consistent¡¡with¡¡life£¿¡¡First¡¡of¡¡course£»¡¡we're¡¡so¡¡¡¨lucky£»¡¨¡¡because¡¡if¡¡we¡¡weren't£»¡¡we¡¡wouldn't¡¡be¡¡here¡¡to¡¡ask¡¡the¡¡question¡£¡¡It¡¡is¡¡no¡¡mystery¡¡that¡¡inquisitive¡¡beings¡¡who¡¡evolve¡¡on¡¡planets¡¡can¡¡be¡¡found¡¡only¡¡in¡¡universes¡¡that¡¡admit¡¡planets¡£¡¡Second£»¡¡the¡¡inverse¡¡square¡¡law¡¡is¡¡not¡¡is¡¡the¡¡only¡¡one¡¡consistent¡¡with¡¡stability¡¡over¡¡billions¡¡of¡¡years¡£¡¡Any¡¡power¡¡law¡¡less¡¡steep¡¡than¡¡1/r3¡¡£¨1/r2¡£99¡¡or¡¡1/r£»¡¡for¡¡example£©¡¡will¡¡keep¡¡a¡¡planet¡¡in¡¡the¡¡vicinity¡¡of¡¡a¡¡circular¡¡orbit¡¡even¡¡if¡¡it's¡¡given¡¡a¡¡shove¡£¡¡We¡¡have¡¡a¡¡tendency¡¡to¡¡overlook¡¡the¡¡possibility¡¡that¡¡other¡¡conceivable¡¡laws¡¡of¡¡Nature¡¡might¡¡also¡¡be¡¡consistent¡¡with¡¡life¡£
But¡¡there's¡¡a¡¡further¡¡point£º¡¡It's¡¡not¡¡arbitrary¡¡that¡¡we¡¡have¡¡an¡¡inverse¡¡square¡¡law¡¡of¡¡gravitation¡£¡¡When¡¡Newton's¡¡theory¡¡is¡¡understood¡¡in¡¡terms¡¡of¡¡the¡¡more¡¡enpassing¡¡general¡¡theory¡¡of¡¡relativity£»¡¡we¡¡recognize¡¡that¡¡the¡¡exponent¡¡of¡¡the¡¡gravity¡¡law¡¡is¡¡2¡¡because¡¡the¡¡number¡¡of¡¡physical¡¡dimensions¡¡we¡¡live¡¡in¡¡is¡¡3¡£¡¡All¡¡gravity¡¡laws¡¡aren't¡¡available£»¡¡free¡¡for¡¡a¡¡Creator's¡¡choosing¡£¡¡Even¡¡given¡¡an¡¡infinite¡¡number¡¡of¡¡three¡dimensional¡¡universes¡¡for¡¡some¡¡great¡¡god¡¡to¡¡tinker¡¡with£»¡¡the¡¡gravity¡¡law¡¡would¡¡always¡¡lave¡¡to¡¡be¡¡the¡¡law¡¡of¡¡the¡¡inverse¡¡square¡£¡¡Newtonian¡¡gravity£»¡¡we¡¡might¡¡say£»¡¡is¡¡not¡¡a¡¡contingent¡¡facet¡¡of¡¡our¡¡universe£»¡¡but¡¡a¡¡necessary¡¡one¡£
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I¡¡wonder¡¡if¡¡something¡¡like¡¡this¡¡doesn't¡¡apply¡¡generally¡¡to¡¡all¡¡anthropic¡¡hypotheses¡£¡¡The¡¡laws¡¡or¡¡physical¡¡constants¡¡on¡¡which¡¡our¡¡lives¡¡depend¡¡turn¡¡out¡¡to¡¡be¡¡members¡¡of¡¡a¡¡class£»¡¡perhaps¡¡even¡¡a¡¡vast¡¡class£»¡¡of¡¡other¡¡laws¡¡and¡¡other¡¡physical¡¡constants¡ªbut¡¡some¡¡of¡¡these¡¡are¡¡also¡¡patible¡¡with¡¡a¡¡kind¡¡of¡¡life¡£¡¡Often¡¡we¡¡do¡¡not¡¡£¨or¡¡cannot£©¡¡work¡¡through¡¡what¡¡those¡¡other¡¡universes¡¡allow¡£¡¡Beyond¡¡that£»¡¡not¡¡every¡¡arbitrary¡¡choice¡¡of¡¡a¡¡law¡¡of¡¡Nature¡¡or¡¡a¡¡physical¡¡constant¡¡may¡¡be¡¡available£»¡¡even¡¡to¡¡a¡¡maker¡¡of¡¡universes¡£¡¡Our¡¡understanding¡¡of¡¡which¡¡laws¡¡of¡¡Nature¡¡and¡¡which¡¡physical¡¡constants¡¡are¡¡up¡¡for¡¡grabs¡¡is¡¡fragmentary¡¡at¡¡best¡£
Moreover£»¡¡we¡¡have¡¡no¡¡access¡¡to¡¡any¡¡of¡¡those¡¡putative¡¡alternative¡¡universes¡£¡¡We¡¡have¡¡no¡¡experimental¡¡method¡¡by¡¡which¡¡anthropic¡¡hypotheses¡¡may¡¡be¡¡tested¡£¡¡Even¡¡if¡¡the¡¡existence¡¡of¡¡such¡¡universes¡¡were¡¡to¡¡follow¡¡firmly¡¡from¡¡well¡established¡¡theories¡ªof¡¡quantum¡¡mechanics¡¡or¡¡gravitation£»¡¡say¡ªwe¡¡could¡¡not¡¡be¡¡sure¡¡that¡¡there¡¡weren't¡¡better¡¡theories¡¡that¡¡predict¡¡no¡¡alternative¡¡universes¡£¡¡Until¡¡that¡¡time¡¡es£»¡¡if¡¡it¡¡ever¡¡does£»¡¡it¡¡seems¡¡to¡¡me¡¡premature¡¡to¡¡put¡¡faith¡¡in¡¡the¡¡Anthropic¡¡Principle¡¡as¡¡an¡¡argument¡¡for¡¡human¡¡centrality¡¡or¡¡uniqueness¡£
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